Neil Turner's Blog

Blogging about technology and randomness since 2002

Election Analysis

Here we go with the post mortem entries on the election. If you’re ignoring my election postings then you’ll only need to bury your head in the sand for a few more days.

Overall, I’d have to say I’m reasonably happy with the result. I didn’t really want Blair to win but I wanted Howard to win even less, so Blair winning with a reduced majority is a good compromise. Not as good as Prime Minister Kennedy but let’s face it, that wasn’t going to happen 🙁 . John Naughton sums it up quite well:

Before the election, I thought that the best result would be Labour returned with a workable but drastically reduced majority. Difficult to arrange in the UK’s patchwork of constituencies. But now that most of the results are in, it looks as though Labour is back with a majority in the mid-60s. And a BBC analysis this morning reported on Radio 4 that 58 of those Labour MPs who rebelled against the party whip on critical issues have been returned. Given that the British system amounts to legislative dictatorship (in that a Prime Minister with a large majority can do as s/he damn well pleases), this is a terrific outcome. Blair & Co cannot now behave over national security, ID cards etc. with the arrogance that characterised their second term. Interesting times ahead. Yippee!

All of the Bradford seats stayed in Labour hands, despite a slight swing to the Tories, though Shipley was a Conservative gain. In Bradford West, all parties except the Greens get to keep their deposits, including the BNP, sadly. Nationally the Greens failed to win a seat although they did poll better in some areas than before. They are, however, going to lose £88,500 for all the deposits that they won’t get back.
Hugh Bayley took City of York, again, with the LibDems narrowly coming in third behind the Tories having gained a number of votes from last time. The Death, Dungeons & Taxes party candidate only managed 93 votes and thus loses the £500 deposit.
Overall turnout is up slightly which is very good – it had been predicted that this year would produce an all-time low but that didn’t materialise, thankfully. Some constitiencies had nearly three-quarters of those eligable to vote turn out which is excellent.
I stayed up until 3am to watch the results in the student union bar – 3am was the time we were kicked out, but by that time a Labour victory was pretty much certain anyway. Okay, so it’s been pretty much certain for several months now, but you get my point. Bradford West took a long time to call – much longer than the other Bradford seats – hence the reason why we stayed so long.
The next four years do promise to be interesting. With Labour’s majority cut, the government is less able to do what it likes so controversial legislation like ID cards will be much less likely to get passed.

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